Renowned US theorist NOAM CHOMSKY
visited South Africa last week, and delivered this speech on "the tyranny of
globalisation" at the University of Cape Town.
G
LOBALISATION is not all that it is claimed to be. It is punted to be about the
miracles of the markets - and all we can do is submit; we have no choice.
If you consider trade flows, investment flows and other standard measures of
global interaction, the global economy is almost what it was in 1913. That's the
globalisation paradigm.
Consider the Third World characteristics, particularly in the United States
and Britain, but extending elsewhere. These countries are so rich, they don't
look like Brazil and Haiti, but the structural characteristics are similar.
In the US, for example, the stock market is booming, benefiting people who
own shares. Half the stock is held by the top 1% of the population and virtually
all the rest by the top 10%.
Meanwhile, about 80% of the general population has experienced either
stagnation or simply decline - in services as well as straight income. They also
have longer working hours and Third-World maladies, such as 20% child poverty
and about 30-million people going hungry, many literally starving.
What is essentially developing is a Third World in a rich society.
Gross measures of globalisation don't indicate anything dramatically new.
There are changes, however. One has to do with free movement of labour - a
crucial tenet of free-trade theory. There was a considerable amount of movement
of labour in the early part of the century. That's not counted, because it
involves people, not profits. But, if we break the rules, there's been a serious
decline in globalisation.
What about capital flow? Relative to gross national product (GNP), it's not
very different from what it was before World War II. The big change took place
in the early 1970s, when Richard Nixon dismantled the UK system of capital
exchange. This imposed a 10% surcharge and was harmful to the US economy.
When this was done, about 10% of capital exchanges were speculative. About
90% were related to the real economy, trade and investment. By 1990, those
figures had reversed. It was 90% speculative, 10% real-economy related. By the
last figures given out by the United Nations for 1994, it was 95% speculative.
The amount has grown astronomically - it's now probably more than a trillion
dollars a day, totally overwhelming the combined reserves of all industrial
countries. Furthermore, 80% of all those transactions have a round-trip period
of a week - meaning you invest and get it right back within a week, and most of
that is within one day.
C
apital has to be allowed to leave the country. Industrial economies have never
allowed capital flow until they were very well-established. Japan bartered
flatly into the 1970s, and that still remains the case. Countries such as Chile
and South Korea still have strong capital controls. In Korea, the restrictions
were so strong that you could get the death penalty for circumventing them.
If you look at Latin America and East Asia, they diverged sharply in the
1980s. Up until then they were developing more or less at the same rate. One
major factor is that Latin America has no capital controls. So the capital flow
out of Latin America in the 1980s was enormous, similar to the level of the
Latin American debt.
That didn't happen in South Korea and Taiwan because they don't allow it.
There the state is powerful enough to control the rich as well as the poor. And
the effect is that they don't have a debt crisis, they maintain capital
internally.
These are not exotic methods. There is a major effort under way to eliminate
them. That is one of the primary goals of the so-called free trade agreements
like the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta) or an even more significant
one in the wings, which will be hitting us like a sledgehammer in a year or two.
One of the goals of all these agreements is liberalising finance, which means
taking financial decisions out of the arena of democratic politics, out of the
arena of public policy and placing them in the hands of unaccountable private
tyrannies.
The multinational agreement on investments, the most important of all, is now
on a dual path, partly at the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development (OECD) and partly at the World Trade Organisation.
At the organisation it is being impeded because Third World countries, India
and Malaysia particularly, are objecting vociferously. They don't want to become
wholly owned subsidiaries of a few foreign corporations. The OECD is different.
There it will go through without any interference.
The plan was to have it enacted this May. That was slowed down and it is now
aimed at next May. The idea is to make it a treaty. If you lock countries into
treaties it is very hard to get out of such arrangements, even if you have the
terrible catastrophe of a democratic election or something like that.
The drafts are technically available. The plans are to allow free movement of
assets, both productive and financial, without any control. That means that the
threat of job flight can be used to undermine strikes and labour organisations.
More than half of union organising efforts in the US are now undermined
simply by the threat of movement of production elsewhere, usually Mexico. That's
tripled since Nafta, and it also means an attack on social policy, if you can
move assets freely.
Local ownership won't be allowed; technology-sharing won't be allowed;
neither will local managers, corporate accountability, living wage procedures,
preferences for deprived areas, like targeting underdeveloped areas, preferences
for minorities, for women; marketing restrictions on dangerous products, small
business protection, labour, consumer, environmental protection - all of that is
ruled out on grounds of investor rights.
There are no restrictions on investments in countries with human rights
violations, like Burma. Corporations and investors are given free reign to sue
governments down to the local level. But there are no reciprocal rights. So
governments and individuals cannot sue corporations.
That's the main outline for the multilateral agreement on investment. Once
the OECD has agreed to it, the Third World has no choice. No country can survive
with these markets and economic and military power opposed to them. Well, that's
a change from 1913.
Another change is the nature of the transitional corporations that dominate
the global economy. About half of what is now called trade is actually
intra-firm, meaning internal to a particular single corporation. So Ford moves
things across the border to Mexico for re-assembly and moves them back to add
more value.
Internal transactions of that kind give many devices for market interference.
It's ridiculous to call it trade. So actual trade is probably about half and is
itself highly subsidised.
The transnationals rely heavily on their home country for markets, public
subsidies, protection from risk and so on. There are international transactions,
including the ones that are mislabelled trade. These are overwhelming within the
triad - Japan, the US and Western Europe. About 75% of all transactions are
internal to the triad and when you look at the strategic alliances now taking
place, another major device for undermining trade market principle is the
alliance between the major corporations.
S
o, for example, IBM, Siemens and Toshiba, the three major computer manufacturers
in the triad, are now working together to develop chips because it's too costly
to compete.
What this means is that the so-called globalisation is taking place
overwhelmingly in Europe, the US and Japan. And it's mostly internal to
mega-corporations, which are linked to one another and highly dependent on their
own states for subsidy, socialisation of risk and for markets.
Within the triad, political measures are available, just by existing devices.
Parliamentary devices exist to change anything, without fear of military coups
and so on. The purpose of the treaty is precisely to prevent that danger.
Furthermore, the whole system of private tyranny, the existence of
corporations, is a very modern development. In the US, it happened early this
century. Before that, corporations had no rights. They were partnerships and
restricted to particular actions determined by state charter. That changed early
in this century, not by legislation but by courts and lawyers - the
international community played its role.
These institutions were given extraordinary rights that they never had
before. But the point is the whole system is not graven in stone. It can be
overturned, just as other forms of totalitarianism have been overthrown by
formal mechanisms that are readily available.
Noam Chomsky is a lecturer at the Massachusetts Institute of
Technology in Cambridge, Massachusetts